Effect of anastomotic leak on long-term survival after esophagectomy: multivariate meta-analysis and restricted mean survival times examination.
Author
Aiolfi, AlbertoGriffiths, Ewen A
Sozzi, Andrea
Manara, Michele
Bonitta, Gianluca
Bonavina, Luigi
Bona, Davide
Publication date
2023-05-20
Metadata
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Background: Anastomotic leak (AL) is a serious complication after esophagectomy. It is associated with prolonged hospital stay, increased costs, and increased risk for 90-day mortality. Controversy exists concerning the impact of AL on survival. This study was designed to investigate the effect of AL on long-term survival after esophagectomy for esophageal cancer. Methods: PubMed, MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched through October 30, 2022. The included studies evaluated the effect of AL on long-term survival. Primary outcome was long-term overall survival. Restricted mean survival time difference (RMSTD), hazard ratio (HR), and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were used as pooled effect size measures. Results: Thirteen studies (7118 patients) were included. Overall, 727 (10.2%) patients experienced AL. The RMSTD analysis shows that at 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months, patients not experiencing AL live an average of 0.7 (95% CI 0.2-1.2; p < 0.001), 1.9 (95% CI 1.1-2.6; p < 0.001), 2.6 (95% CI 1.6-3.7; p < 0.001), 3.4 (95% CI 1.9-4.9; p < 0.001), and 4.2 (95% CI 2.1-6.4; p < 0.001) months longer compared with those with AL, respectively. The time-dependent HRs analysis for AL versus no AL shows a higher mortality hazard in patients with AL at 3 (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.54-2.34), 6 (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.39-1.75), 12 (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.24-1.54), and 24 months (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.02-1.31). Conclusions: This study seems to suggest a modest clinical impact of AL on long-term OS after esophagectomy. Patients who experience AL seem to have a higher mortality hazard during the first 2 years of follow-up.Citation
Aiolfi A, Griffiths EA, Sozzi A, Manara M, Bonitta G, Bonavina L, Bona D. Effect of Anastomotic Leak on Long-Term Survival After Esophagectomy: Multivariate Meta-analysis and Restricted Mean Survival Times Examination. Ann Surg Oncol. 2023 May 20. doi: 10.1245/s10434-023-13670-6. Epub ahead of print.Type
ArticleAdditional Links
https://link.springer.com/journal/10434PMID
37210447Journal
Annals of Surgical OncologyPublisher
Springerae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
10.1245/s10434-023-13670-6